Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.162567 0.234591 0.316788 0.415188 0.527748 0.650765 0.793781
2025-11-09 0.055991 0.133089 0.240267 0.385967 0.568483 0.781702 1.042824
2025-11-16 0.013736 0.074405 0.182426 0.347601 0.569560 0.840953 1.184339
2025-11-23 0.001245 0.044728 0.152222 0.335715 0.596529 0.926228 1.352855
2025-11-30 NaN 0.030214 0.139584 0.343802 0.645972 1.036546 1.549278
2025-12-07 NaN 0.017228 0.121944 0.339646 0.675764 1.120011 1.711401
2025-12-14 NaN 0.006888 0.099984 0.323121 0.684779 1.174371 1.835655
2025-12-21 NaN 0.005210 0.103451 0.350903 0.758102 1.313313 2.066422
2025-12-28 NaN 0.003968 0.107385 0.379271 0.832278 1.453524 2.299069
2026-01-04 NaN 0.002094 0.104855 0.394499 0.886363 1.566764 2.497498
2026-01-11 NaN 0.002062 0.114168 0.433230 0.976427 1.728697 2.758417
2026-01-18 NaN 0.001481 0.118271 0.461413 1.050392 1.869037 2.991963
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000262 0.110705 0.466932 1.092254 1.969990 3.180729
2026-02-01 NaN NaN 0.086019 0.432353 1.070131 1.983471 3.257502
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.062367 0.392389 1.035384 1.976807 3.305877
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.051388 0.379501 1.042952 2.027788 3.428322
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.048649 0.388181 1.086527 2.129529 3.617531
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.041988 0.383734 1.107024 2.198132 3.762830
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.032250 0.366098 1.103275 2.231264 3.860593
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.036287 0.395739 1.183479 2.385848 4.120441
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.040510 0.425936 1.264713 2.542021 4.382563
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.040715 0.442118 1.321073 2.662307 4.596967
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.048088 0.483202 1.421784 2.846859 4.897247